Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.156821 0.178637 0.202834 0.231741 0.265432 0.303580 0.350209
2026-01-25 0.121668 0.150464 0.185546 0.231768 0.291563 0.366986 0.470394
2026-02-01 0.100900 0.132298 0.173217 0.231153 0.312204 0.423266 0.589937
2026-02-08 0.086226 0.118330 0.162445 0.228598 0.327212 0.471907 0.706235
2026-02-15 0.075298 0.107318 0.153308 0.225711 0.339686 0.517188 0.824727
2026-02-22 0.068799 0.101475 0.150339 0.230792 0.364047 0.583600 0.989500
2026-03-01 0.061609 0.093533 0.142931 0.227446 0.373723 0.626916 1.122802
2026-03-08 0.056340 0.087850 0.138183 0.227455 0.388542 0.680869 1.286402
2026-03-15 0.051876 0.082894 0.133911 0.227469 0.403006 0.736126 1.464242
2026-03-22 0.048927 0.080076 0.132798 0.232732 0.427682 0.814713 1.708416
2026-03-29 0.046051 0.077045 0.130911 0.236202 0.449249 0.890674 1.965145
2026-04-05 0.043435 0.074178 0.128956 0.239190 0.470153 0.968810 2.246619
2026-04-12 0.041387 0.072185 0.128482 0.245232 0.498910 1.070878 2.619159
2026-04-19 0.038842 0.069039 0.125518 0.245890 0.516273 1.150776 2.958597
2026-04-26 0.036421 0.065886 0.122197 0.245332 0.530782 1.226780 3.310707
2026-05-03 0.034015 0.062535 0.118127 0.242613 0.539790 1.290881 3.648261
2026-05-10 0.031811 0.059379 0.114129 0.239526 0.547394 1.352920 3.999939
2026-05-17 0.030622 0.058133 0.113919 0.244964 0.577050 1.480866 4.612163
2026-05-24 0.028724 0.055280 0.110048 0.241384 0.582976 1.543504 5.022015
2026-05-31 0.027294 0.053274 0.107799 0.241393 0.598449 1.637620 5.582957
2026-06-07 0.025980 0.051401 0.105662 0.241407 0.613980 1.735629 6.198853
2026-06-14 0.025186 0.050572 0.105767 0.247040 0.646334 1.894603 7.131622
2026-06-21 0.024302 0.049474 0.105152 0.250755 0.673854 2.044890 8.098156